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Monday, May 01, 2006

 

O's/Blue Jays series preview

The O's have a 2-game series coming up against the Blue Jays, and it will be big for the O's to stop their well, horrible play that started vs. the Yankees last Friday. Here's my preview.

Monday, 5/1.
This is a rematch from last week, as Erik Bedard faces Ted Lilly. Not good news, as the Blue Jays are far and away the best hitting team vs. LHP, and the O's are one of the worst. The Jays are hitting .368 vs. lefties, while the O's are hitting a lowly .205, second worst in the American League. Also, the several injuries the O's have won't help, as 3 starters definitely won't be in the lineup tonight(4 if you count Newhan). It is probably good news that Brian isn't playing tonight, as his OPS against Lilly is .548, and he is hitting a lowly .188 vs. Lilly.

Key player:For the Orioles, I think the key player is Corey Patterson. If he(plays) can set the table for Mora/Tejada/Gibbons, the O's will definitely stay in the game, especially with Bedard on the mound.

Key player:For the Blue Jays, Alex Rios(though I could pick many more). He got a big homer off Bedard last week that put the game out of reach, and also went 3-4. He is killing lefties this year, hitting .438, with a 1.486 OPS. If Bedard can shut him down, I like our chances.

Game 1 Prediction:Everything points to a Jays win, but for some reason I think the O's pull it out. I think Bedard will be great and pitch 7 innings giving up less than 3 runs. The O's will get through to Lilly, and I see his line being around 6 innings and 5 runs. 5-4 O's is my final, as I think Hawkins gives up a homer and Ray comes in to shut them down.

Tuesday, 5/2
This is also a rematch from last week, when the O's won 7-5. Benson pitched a very good game, but Ray gave up 3 runs in the 9th. Casey Janssen pitched 4 innings, giving up 3 runs. His scouting report said he was known for his control, but a high pitch count was the reason he was pulled in the 4th, and he hit 2 batters.

Key player:For the O's it has to be Kris Benson, who can really help the 'pen out if he can pitch 6 or 7 strong innings. God knows we don't want to see any relievers not named "Hawkins", "Williams", or especially "Ray". Look for Benson to eat some innings, but give up a couple runs.

Key player:For the Blue Jays, I'm gonna go with Scott Downs. He is the Jays long man, and will probably(hopefully is more like it) need to be used in this game. If he can eat innings and keep the Jays in the game, he has done his job.

Game 2 prediction:Benson goes 7 strong, giving up 3. Janssen will go 5 innings and give up 4 runs. O's win, 7-3.

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